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The Ministry of Commerce remains optimistic
about trade for the rest of the year and will maintain the policies adopted in
the beginning of the year despite widespread concerns over the export slowdown,
according to the vice-minister of commerce.
The current trade figures are within the government's expectations, and the
export slowdown is the result of trade policy adjustments initiated earlier this
year, Vice-Minister of Commerce Gao Hucheng said.
The growth rate of exports slowed to 21.9 percent for the first half,
compared with the 27.6 percent increase over the same period last year. Exports
for June alone went up only by 17.6 percent, much slower than the 28.1 percent
rise in May.
Despite these figures, Gao said the Ministry of Commerce remains optimistic
about the outlook in the second half of the year. "We estimate exports will
maintain reasonable growth," said Gao. "The trade balance has improved, in
accordance with our goals at the beginning of the year."
Trade balance and a structural adjustment of exports have been on the agenda
of macro control measures initiated this year, and the recent trade data show
these measures have started to work, said Gao.
Figures of the first half show imports rose rapidly and composition of the
export basket changed. In contrast with the export slowdown, imports went up
30.6 percent. Export of electronic and machinery products, which takes up over
half of the overall exports, jumped 25.3 percent to $389 billion. Export of
hi-tech products also increased rapidly, up 21.8 percent, to $196 billion.
Export growth of products of energy-intensive and heavily polluting
industries, by contrast, slowed down 16 percent.
Although export slowdown in some sectors have raised the specter of
bankruptcy and rising unemployment, Gao said the trade policy would remain
stable and the government's stance of reining in energy-intensive and heavily
polluting enterprises would not change.
In June, export of garment and accessories slowed down by 15 percent to $9.8
billion, the lowest monthly increase this year. Export of garments for the whole
year went up by only 3.4 percent to $49 billion.
Apart from the tightening policies, causes for the slowdown also include a
faster appreciation of the yuan against the US dollar, which has made Chinese
products more expensive, and the rising raw material and labor costs.
A US-led slowdown of the global economy has also cost Chinese exporters
dear.
As a result, over two-thirds of textile enterprises are suffering losses. The
average profit rate in the industry for the first five months of the year was
only 1.1 percent, according to the Ministry of Commerce.
Enterprises are therefore seeking favorable government policies in these
sectors. Some suggest a slower yuan appreciation or increased export tax rebate.
A proposal by China National Textile & Apparel Council to the State Council
reportedly seeks more export tax rebate on some textile products.
Top leaders, including Vice-Premier Wen Jiabao and Commerce Minister Chen
Deming, have visited enterprises in Zhejiang and Jiangsu, both major textile
export bases. Many see in these visits seeds of a possible policy change for the
rest of the year.
"We'll continue to clamp down on energy-intensive and highly polluting
industries, and will further investigate and evaluate the difficulties faced by
some industries," said Gao when asked whether the tax rebate would be
increased. |